Search results for "Spark spread"
showing 4 items of 4 documents
Causalities between CO2, electricity, and other energy variables during phase I and phase II of the EU ETS
2010
The topic of this article is the analysis of the interplay between daily carbon, electricity and gas price data with the European Union Emission Trading System (EU ETS) for CO2 emissions. In a first step we have performed Granger causality tests for Phase I of the EU ETS (January 2005 until December 2007) and the first year of Phase II of the EU ETS (2008). The analysis includes both spot and forward markets—given the close interactions between the two sets of markets. The results show that during Phase I coal and gas prices, through the clean dark and spark spread, impacted CO2 futures prices, which in return Granger caused electricity prices. During the first year of the Phase II, the sho…
Dynamic copula models for the spark spread
2011
We propose a non-symmetric copula to model the evolution of electricity and gas prices by a bivariate non-Gaussian autoregressive process. We identify the marginal dynamics as driven by normal inverse Gaussian processes, estimating them from a series of observed UK electricity and gas spot data. We estimate the copula by modeling the difference between the empirical copula and the independent copula. We then simulate the joint process and price options written on the spark spread. We find that option prices are significantly influenced by the copula and the marginal distributions, along with the seasonality of the underlying prices.
Essays On European Natural Gas Market
2018
La presente tesis ha cubierto diferentes aspectos de los mercados europeos del gas natural y la electricidad, en particular algunas propiedades que afectan a la efectividad de la cobertura, como la estacionalidad en varianza y en precios. Asimismo, se ha realizado un estudio de la prima de riesgo del gas natural, su relación con las variables de riesgo y su descomposición en una prima de riesgo de reinversión o ‘rollover’ y una prima de ‘preferencia por liquidez’ relacionada con el plazo. La tesis se compone de tres capítulos: el Capítulo I estudia la estacionalidad en los precios y la volatilidad y cómo mejora la efectividad de la cobertura teniendo en cuenta dicha estacionalidad; el Capít…
Hedging spark spread risk with futures
2018
Abstract This paper discusses the spark spread risk management using electricity and natural gas futures. We focus on three European markets in which the natural gas share in the fuel mix varies considerably: Germany, the United Kingdom, and the Netherlands. We find that spark spread returns are partially predictable, and consequently, the Ederington and Salas (2008) minimum variance hedging approach should be applied. Hedging the spark spread is more difficult than hedging electricity and natural gas price risks with individual futures contracts. Whereas spark spread risk reduction for monthly periods produces values of between 20.05% and 48.90%, electricity and natural gas individual hedg…